Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
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