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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
BL

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Bolton

Walker (59')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (5')
Williams (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Burton have hugely improved as the season has worn on, and we expect Maamria's side to prove extremly difficult to beat once again on Tuesday. With Bolton having three consecutive home fixtures to come after this trip to the Midlands, the visitors may be more than content with getting out of the Pirelli Stadium with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
22.54% (1.259 1.26) 22.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 54.61% (-1.323 -1.32)
Both teams to score 55.93% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (1.24 1.24)43.92% (-1.246 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (1.198 1.2)66.3% (-1.205 -1.21)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (1.873 1.87)33.42% (-1.879 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (2.003 2)70.04% (-2.01 -2.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)45.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 22.54%
    Bolton Wanderers 54.61%
    Draw 22.84%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.277 0.28)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.186 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.251 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.546 -0.55)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.506 -0.51)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.49% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.152 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.069 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 54.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Burton Albion
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Cambridge
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Bolton
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One


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