SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
22.54% ( 1.26) | 22.84% ( 0.06) | 54.61% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( 1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( 1.24) | 43.92% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( 1.2) | 66.3% ( -1.21) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 1.87) | 33.42% ( -1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( 2) | 70.04% ( -2.01) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( -0.02) | 15.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( -0.03) | 45.3% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.49% Total : 54.61% |
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