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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
CU

Bolton
1 - 1
Cambridge

John (67')
Johnston (56'), Bradley (71'), Mbete (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (90+5')
Smith (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cambridge United

Despite not being free-scoring on home turf, Bolton have the meanest defence in the third tier, and that stinginess should put them in good stead against a side that have netted 13 goals in 19 away League Two fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
65.51% (-0.129 -0.13) 20.45% (-0.124 -0.12) 14.04% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 47.56% (1.034 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (1.037 1.04)46.95% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.96 0.96)69.2% (-0.959 -0.96)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.28800000000001 0.29)13.51% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (0.57 0.57)40.56% (-0.569 -0.57)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (1.016 1.02)45% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (0.802 0.8)80.93% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 65.5%
    Cambridge United 14.04%
    Draw 20.45%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.114 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.5%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.45%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Bolton
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Bolton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Charlton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One


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