Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
