Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
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