SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
53.8% ( -0.02) | 23.92% ( 0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( -0.01) | 48.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( -0.01) | 70.93% ( 0.01) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( -0.01) | 18.07% ( 0.01) |
