Forest Green Rovers are in desperate need of a win after their recent results, but they are coming up against Exeter at completely the wrong time, with the hosts likely to be full of confidence after their recent victories.
As such, we expect the Grecians to run out comprehensive 2-0 winners, extending their winning run to three games on the spin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
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