Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Burton Albion |
32.68% ( 0.02) | 27.59% ( 0.01) | 39.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.62% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.97% ( -0.05) | 57.03% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% ( -0.04) | 77.92% ( 0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( -0.01) | 32.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% ( -0.01) | 68.95% ( 0.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% ( -0.04) | 28.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% ( -0.05) | 63.69% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.73% |
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