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League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
BA

Morecambe
5 - 0
Burton Albion

Phillips (32', 55'), Weir (45+1'), Watts (51', 83')
Watts (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Taylor (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Burton Albion

Having wrapped up the year with two consecutive victories, Burton Albion will head into 2023 with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the drop zone. Morecambe also appear to have also hit their stride and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
32.68% (0.022000000000006 0.02) 27.59% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 39.73% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)57.03% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)28.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.055 -0.05)63.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.68%
    Burton Albion 39.73%
    Draw 27.59%
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Morecambe (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-0 Lincoln
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Derby
Saturday, December 10 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League One


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