With Burton unlikely to take this match too seriously considering their relegation fears, we can envisage Grimsby recording a victory to reach the fourth round of the FA Cup for the first time in 23 years.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Grimsby Town.
-0.04) 
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