Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
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