SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
45.6% ( -0.01) | 26.7% ( 0) | 27.7% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.48% ( -0.01) | 55.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% ( -0.01) | 76.69% ( 0.01) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( -0.01) | 24.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.35% ( -0.01) | 58.65% ( 0.02) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0) | 35.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.91% ( -0) | 72.08% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.6% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.7% |
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