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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
CU

Shrewsbury
5 - 1
Cambridge

Leahy (33' pen., 90+1'), Shipley (45+5'), Pennington (57'), Saydee (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ironside (69')
Worman (12'), Bennett (19'), Digby (32'), Okedina (45+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shrewsbury Town 2-1 Cambridge United

In pursuit of a double-digit number of victories in the current League One campaign, we can envision Shrewsbury Town's assignment coming to fruition come 5pm on Saturday evening after condemning Cambridge United into deeper relegation turmoil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCambridge United
45.6% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 26.7% (0.0040000000000013 0) 27.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)55.51% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)76.69% (0.012 0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (-0.012 -0.01)58.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 45.6%
    Cambridge United 27.7%
    Draw 26.7%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Sunderland
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Fleetwood
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Cheltenham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Bolton
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-0 Cambridge
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cambridge
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-4 West Ham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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