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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
CT

Peterborough
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Burrows (54'), Clarke-Harris (61'), Kioso (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Cheltenham Town

While Peterborough may be experiencing a poor run of results, we think that they will prove too strong for a Cheltenham side bereft of confidence after losing six of their opening seven league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
55.87% (1.622 1.62) 22.9% (-0.152 -0.15) 21.23% (-1.463 -1.46)
Both teams to score 53.9% (-1.526 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-1.055 -1.06)45.76% (1.063 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-1.012 -1.01)68.07% (1.019 1.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.193 0.19)16.21% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.343 0.34)45.7% (-0.336 -0.34)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-1.969 -1.97)35.68% (1.977 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-2.086 -2.09)72.45% (2.094 2.09)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.86%
    Cheltenham Town 21.23%
    Draw 22.9%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.528 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.541 0.54)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.363 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Peterborough (4-6 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 2-4 Derby
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, August 15 at 8pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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