SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
55.87% ( 1.62) | 22.9% ( -0.15) | 21.23% ( -1.46) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.25% ( -1.06) | 45.76% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% ( -1.01) | 68.07% ( 1.02) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.19) | 16.21% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.3% ( 0.34) | 45.7% ( -0.34) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( -1.97) | 35.68% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( -2.09) | 72.45% ( 2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.23% |
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