Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.02) 
