Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
