Cheltenham have looked much better under the guidance of Darrell Clarke and come into this one, having only lost one of their last five home league games. The Shrews are missing a few key players, and that has shown in their performances of late with back-to-back losses in their last two outings.
With these sides currently possessing the two of worst attacking records in the league this season, chances will likely be at a premium, and we feel there will be nothing to separate them at the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
0.64) 
-0.11) 
