SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
38.47% ( -0.03) | 25.41% ( -0.02) | 36.12% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( 0.07) | 47.58% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( 0.07) | 69.78% ( -0.07) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( 0.02) | 24.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( 0.02) | 58.75% ( -0.02) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( 0.06) | 25.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( 0.08) | 60.54% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.47% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 36.12% |
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