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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
CA

MK Dons
2 - 1
Crewe

Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

With more quality in their ranks and momentum on their side, everything points to an MK Dons win on Tuesday. Manning's men have their sights set on the top two, and they should not be derailed at home to the league's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.19%18.6%12.21%
Both teams to score 48.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89%43.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49%65.51%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66%11.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.98%36.03%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54%45.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7%81.3%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 69.18%
    Crewe Alexandra 12.21%
    Draw 18.6%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 12.21%
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 4.83%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.75%
5-0 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 69.18%
1-1 @ 8.85%
0-0 @ 5.16%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.06%
1-2 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Cheltenham
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crewe 1-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crewe 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crewe 0-2 Wigan
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crewe 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crewe 1-3 Wycombe
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League One


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