Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
