Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
