Wimbledon will hardly get a better opportunity to pick up their first win of the calendar year, but Crewe Alexandra can now afford to play without fear and could have the new manager bounce in effect right away. The visitors' form on the road also leaves a lot to be desired, but the return of McCormick certainly aids Wimbledon's prospects going forwards, and we have confidence in Bowen's side to finally claim a priceless three points and boost their survival hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
35.88%	25.74%	38.38%

Both teams to score 55.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94%

49.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.86%

71.13%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52%

26.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34%

61.65%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92%

25.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24%

59.76%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 35.88%

AFC Wimbledon 38.38%

Draw 25.73%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.88%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.38%