Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
