Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Cheltenham Town
58.77% ( -1.09)	23.03% ( 0.73)	18.2% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 48.59% (

-1.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66% (

-2.42)

50.34% (

2.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72% (

-2.18)

72.29% (

2.19)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18% (

-1.21)

16.82% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2% (

-2.2)

46.8% (

2.2)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.42% (

-1)

41.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.93% (

-0.89)

78.07% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 58.76%

Cheltenham Town 18.2%

Draw 23.03%

Exeter City	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.76%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.2%