SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
46.11% ( -0.39) | 25.72% ( -0.04) | 28.17% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.56% ( 0.43) | 51.44% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.75% ( 0.38) | 73.25% ( -0.37) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( 0) | 22.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.26% ( 0) | 55.74% ( 0) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.57) | 32.79% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.64% ( 0.63) | 69.36% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.17% |
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