SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
53.86% ( 0.09) | 24.78% ( 0.05) | 21.36% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( -0.34) | 53.23% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( -0.29) | 74.79% ( 0.3) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.09) | 19.72% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.26% ( -0.16) | 51.74% ( 0.16) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.34) | 39.79% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.54% ( -0.32) | 76.46% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.85% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.36% |
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