MK Dons are certainly better than they have shown this season, especially at home, and we are backing Jackson's side to secure a point here. Shrewsbury will be full of confidence heading into the contest, but they might be forced to settle for a share of the spoils on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.14) 
