Despite potentially receiving a new manager 'bounce' in Evans's first game in charge here, the visitors arrive at St James Park on the back of a poor winless streak and a challenging week following their COVID-19 outbreak. Factoring all of this in with Exeter's strong run of form and an excellent record over their visitors, all the signs are pointing towards a comfortable home win here to see the hosts strengthen their hold on an automatic promotion spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Stevenage
61.83%	22.24%	15.93%

Both teams to score 46.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26%

50.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36%

72.64%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08%

15.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83%

45.16%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34%

44.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34%

80.66%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 61.82%

Stevenage 15.93%

Draw 22.24%

Exeter City	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.82%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.24%	0-1 @ 5.73% 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.31% 1-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.93%