We said: Gillingham 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Given Wimbledon's wealth of absentees and severely depleted morale after the heavy loss to Bolton, the stage is set for Gillingham to boost their survival hopes at the expense of their opponents'.
Robinson will be demanding an immediate response from Saturday's loss and will at least have the influential McCormick back in his ranks, but we are still backing the hosts to edge this basement battle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
