Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
