AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Sunderland

McCormick (20' pen.)
Heneghan (25'), McCormick (44'), Osew (57'), Chislett (68'), Assal (90+5')
McCormick (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pritchard (35')
Winchester (45+1'), Clarke (54'), Matete (67'), Evans (75'), Wright (80'), Defoe (83'), Neill (90+1')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Sunderland

This is a huge match for both sides, and it will be fascinating to see what occurs on Saturday afternoon. We are expecting a cagey contest between two out-of-form teams but believe that Sunderland's additional quality will shine through to secure a hugely important three points at Plough Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Sunderland
27.54%	24.12%	48.33%

Both teams to score 56.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94%

45.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59%

67.4%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.06%

29.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95%

66.05%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25%

18.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.87%

50.13%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 27.54%

Sunderland 48.33%

Draw 24.12%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Sunderland
2-1 @ 6.83% 1-0 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.54%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 9.49% 0-1 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 5.29% 0-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.32% Total : 48.33%