Bolton
4 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Dadi Bodvarsson (36'), Afolayan (56'), Charles (67'), Bakayoko (87')
Afolayan (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marsh (12')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

Bolton have proven to be a formidable force at home in recent weeks, and we think that they will claim a fifth consecutive home victory when they face a Wimbledon side that have lost three of their last four away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
60.13%	22.68%	17.19%

Both teams to score 47.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55%

50.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62%

72.38%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61%

16.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.97%

46.02%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.14%

42.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.83%

79.17%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 60.12%

AFC Wimbledon 17.19%

Draw 22.68%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.87% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.92% Total : 60.12%	1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.68%	0-1 @ 5.95% 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.19%