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League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Reebok Stadium
AW

Bolton
4 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Dadi Bodvarsson (36'), Afolayan (56'), Charles (67'), Bakayoko (87')
Afolayan (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marsh (12')

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

Bolton have proven to be a formidable force at home in recent weeks, and we think that they will claim a fifth consecutive home victory when they face a Wimbledon side that have lost three of their last four away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAFC Wimbledon
60.13%22.68%17.19%
Both teams to score 47.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55%50.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62%72.38%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61%16.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97%46.02%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.14%42.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.83%79.17%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 60.12%
    AFC Wimbledon 17.19%
    Draw 22.68%
Bolton WanderersDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.7%
2-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 5.87%
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.49%
5-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.12%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.68%
0-1 @ 5.95%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.19%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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