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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
EC

Ipswich
6 - 0
Exeter

Chaplin (8', 32'), Luongo (16'), Hirst (22'), Broadhead (28' pen.), Burns (47')
Clarke (57'), Burgess (88')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Mitchell (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Exeter City

Ipswich have been solid all season, but their performances have gone up a level since February, keeping clean sheets in 12 of their last 14 matches. McKenna's side have proven they have what it takes to win promotion with their recent victories against Barnsley and Peterborough, and we expect them to get over the line on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawExeter City
79.79% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 12.99% (0.036 0.04) 7.21% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)32.03% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)6.25% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.41% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)23.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.14% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)83.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 79.78%
    Exeter City 7.21%
    Draw 12.99%
Ipswich TownDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 11.56%
3-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 7.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 79.78%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 12.99%
1-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.2% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 7.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Ipswich
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Wycombe
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Plymouth
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-1 Exeter
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One


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