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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Home Park
M

Plymouth
2 - 1
Morecambe

Ennis (69'), Cosgrove (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Connor (90+1')
Shaw (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Morecambe

While Plymouth are far from their best and the visitors have at least shown a degree of resilience recently, the Pilgrims will still see Saturday as a good opportunity to get back to winning ways, and they should have enough to outclass Morecambe and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMorecambe
62.44% (0.50700000000001 0.51) 21.06% (-0.226 -0.23) 16.49% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (0.479 0.48)44.85% (-0.48 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (0.45699999999999 0.46)67.21% (-0.459 -0.46)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.30799999999999 0.31)13.78% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91% (0.606 0.61)41.08% (-0.608 -0.61)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)40.38% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (-0.061 -0.06)77% (0.059000000000012 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 62.44%
    Morecambe 16.49%
    Draw 21.06%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.42% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 62.44%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.06%
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Port Vale
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Morecambe (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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