SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.25%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
73.61% ( -0.05) | 16.73% ( 0.04) | 9.66% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.69% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( -0.18) | 41.77% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.83% ( -0.18) | 64.17% ( 0.18) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.15% ( -0.06) | 9.85% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.33% ( -0.14) | 32.67% ( 0.14) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.68% ( -0.12) | 49.32% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.82% ( -0.08) | 84.18% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 73.59% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.73% | 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.66% |
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