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League One | Gameweek 43
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
CT

Morecambe
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Weir (20'), Phillips (47')
Cooney (87'), Major (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
May (39')
Taylor (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Morecambe 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Morecambe head into this match in the relegation zone which is why most people will be presuming that the visitors are the favourites in this one. Despite that, the Shrimps have been performing well in recent matches and that momentum should help them secure another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCheltenham Town
42.51% (2.182 2.18) 25.53% (-1.84 -1.84) 31.95% (-0.345 -0.34)
Both teams to score 54.84% (5.676 5.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (7.336 7.34)48.96% (-7.338 -7.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (6.282 6.28)71.05% (-6.283 -6.28)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (4.441 4.44)22.92% (-4.443 -4.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (6.138 6.14)56.68% (-6.141 -6.14)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (3.463 3.46)28.85% (-3.465 -3.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (4.104 4.1)64.71% (-4.106 -4.11)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 42.51%
    Cheltenham Town 31.96%
    Draw 25.52%
MorecambeDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.74% (-1.719 -1.72)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.53 0.53)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.756 0.76)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.316 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.675 0.68)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.439 0.44)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.258 0.26)
4-2 @ 1% (0.34 0.34)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.84 -0.84)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-2.23 -2.23)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.806 0.81)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.357 0.36)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-1.769 -1.77)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.215 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.533 -0.53)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.365 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.513 0.51)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.192 0.19)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 5-0 Burton Albion
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Morecambe (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cheltenham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Cheltenham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Plymouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 4-0 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, December 10 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Cheltenham
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One


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