Morecambe head into this match in the relegation zone which is why most people will be presuming that the visitors are the favourites in this one.
Despite that, the Shrimps have been performing well in recent matches and that momentum should help them secure another victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.