With neither side in particularly good form, that may suit the home side as they look to cause an upset. However, Exeter's recent defeats have been against better opposition, and we expect them to get back on track on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
