Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.04) 
