Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
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