Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.05) 
