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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
LO

Gillingham
2 - 1
Leyton Orient

Alexander (80' pen.), Beckles (83' og.)
Coleman (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (43' og.)
Cooper (45+1'), Terry (46'), Galbraith (61'), Sanders (65'), Archibald (81')
Forde (62'), Cooper (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Gillingham 0-0 Leyton Orient

Gillingham's matches tend to have very few goals scored in them due to Harris' safety-first approach, while Leyton Orient have failed to score in five of their seven matches so far this season. As such, this looks like it will almost certainly be an extremely tight affair, with neither set of players likely to be throwing themselves into challenges ahead of important league fixtures at the weekend. We can envisage a goalless draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawLeyton Orient
35.83% (0.188 0.19) 27.48% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 36.69% (-0.254 -0.25)
Both teams to score 49.39% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.73% (-0.249 -0.25)56.27% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69% (-0.201 -0.2)77.31% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.98% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.1% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)29.46% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-0.339 -0.34)65.46% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 35.82%
    Leyton Orient 36.68%
    Draw 27.48%
GillinghamDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 13% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.83% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Luton 3-2 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Colchester
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 3-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-4 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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