Despite the gap in the league standings owing to Reading's points docking this season, these sides have an identical win/loss record and are separated by just two goals. We are expecting an even contest here and feel this one will end level at the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 43%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
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