Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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