Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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