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PA
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Home Park
BA

Plymouth
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Grant (15'), Broom (43')
Scarr (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Akins (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBurton Albion
38.9%27.17%33.93%
Both teams to score 50.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77%55.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54%76.46%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35%27.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8%63.2%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32%30.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07%66.92%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 38.9%
    Burton Albion 33.93%
    Draw 27.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.93%

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