Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.
