Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
31.71% ( 0.19) | 23.49% ( 0.15) | 44.8% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.28% ( -0.61) | 39.72% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.93% ( -0.63) | 62.07% ( 0.64) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( -0.18) | 24.48% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.07% ( -0.25) | 58.93% ( 0.26) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( -0.37) | 18.07% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% ( -0.64) | 48.98% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.71% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 44.8% |
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