Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
