SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Carlisle United |
58.73% ( 0.05) | 22.2% ( 0) | 19.07% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( -0.09) | 45.6% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% ( -0.08) | 67.93% ( 0.08) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( -0.01) | 15.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.18% ( -0.02) | 43.82% ( 0.02) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.11) | 37.82% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.41% ( -0.11) | 74.6% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.07% |
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