Reading have won four of their five home league matches this season, and we think that they will produce another strong home performance to condemn Crawley to a seventh consecutive defeat in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Crawley Town
45.48% ( -0)	23.61%	30.9% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.99% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.29% (

-0)

40.7% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.91%

63.08% (

-0)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

-0)

18.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

-0)

49.17%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0)

25.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71%

60.28% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Reading 45.48%

Crawley Town 30.9%

Draw 23.61%

Reading	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.9%