While Crawley have struggled for results in recent weeks, we believe that they have the stronger squad compared to their opponents, who have also faced difficulties in recent outings, suggesting a win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
28.88% ( 0.03)	24.16% ( 0.01)	46.95% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.63% (

-0.02)

44.36% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.26% (

-0.02)

66.74% (

0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

0.01)

28.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57% (

0.01)

64.42% (

-0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

-0.03)

19.03% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39% (

-0.04)

50.61% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 28.88%

AFC Wimbledon 46.95%

Draw 24.16%

Crawley Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.88%	1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 46.95%