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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
40.63% ( 0.26) | 24.41% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( -0.04) | 43.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( -0.04) | 65.53% ( 0.04) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( 0.1) | 21.31% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% ( 0.16) | 54.25% ( -0.16) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.16) | 24.23% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -0.23) | 58.57% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.96% |
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