With momentum on their side and the need for three points to stay in the top six, we back the hosts to get over the line on Friday. The visitors have shown themselves to be a difficult side to beat throughout the season, but they may not have enough to hold a strong Black Cats team playing with confidence on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
67.99%	19.41%	12.6%

Both teams to score 46.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.24%

45.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.92%

68.07%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.56%

12.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.65%

38.35%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.49%

46.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.88%

82.11%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 67.97%

Shrewsbury Town 12.6%

Draw 19.41%

Sunderland	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 12.56% 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 6.69% 4-0 @ 4.55% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.04% Total : 67.97%	1-1 @ 9.23% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.41%	0-1 @ 4.43% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 0.94% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.1% Total : 12.6%