Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
