Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
